Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 3.384510 3.976921 4.663832 5.524353 6.580716 7.844405 9.484378
2024-12-29 2.495507 3.226252 4.177718 5.528841 7.433589 10.077907 14.126350
2025-01-05 2.019653 2.770767 3.823082 5.444936 7.955705 11.825924 18.517569
2025-01-12 1.756767 2.528148 3.675351 5.568557 8.744154 14.112865 24.488841
2025-01-19 1.512881 2.260029 3.424794 5.455670 9.094411 15.744528 29.906558
2025-01-26 1.416167 2.196419 3.472272 5.826685 10.348248 19.335693 40.657302
2025-02-02 1.313656 2.104193 3.451492 6.065255 11.408011 22.881366 53.044102
2025-02-09 1.233603 2.035748 3.456573 6.346515 12.619636 27.157191 69.583221
2025-02-16 1.140759 1.930752 3.376938 6.441543 13.455446 30.863185 86.837372
2025-02-23 1.064853 1.845544 3.319860 6.568909 14.397001 35.190309 109.002615
2025-03-02 0.978203 1.729108 3.184519 6.499868 14.847270 38.374064 129.651686
2025-03-09 0.925640 1.671240 3.157566 6.668097 15.948839 43.916211 164.227419
2025-03-16 0.834018 1.536957 2.977029 6.501386 16.282796 47.833009 199.093167
2025-03-23 0.763934 1.439696 2.866346 6.498851 17.150155 54.314388 257.184056
2025-03-30 0.696777 1.338774 2.729985 6.397595 17.692219 60.027361 321.345680
2025-04-06 0.654902 1.285436 2.691951 6.547417 19.102597 70.259504 436.830940
2025-04-13 0.600648 1.198196 2.560934 6.410578 19.507342 76.558850 539.515446
2025-04-20 0.584824 1.193971 2.628063 6.860704 22.222391 96.269882 828.423572
2025-04-27 0.561324 1.169067 2.639824 7.150719 24.495436 116.250014 1215.732925
2025-05-04 0.541765 1.150732 2.665288 7.493184 27.184227 142.034416 1846.702922
2025-05-11 0.514125 1.109644 2.624276 7.609023 28.973166 164.542015 2612.411482
2025-05-18 0.490383 1.075257 2.596206 7.764386 31.059511 192.455881 3811.304184
2025-05-25 0.460206 1.021482 2.506428 7.680155 31.951267 212.538930 5089.329073